How Inflation Impacts Your Investment Returns and How to Beat It
Naveen was shocked to count the monthly expenses of groceries and other daily items after his supermarket haul. And why not? When your salary increases only once a year, by an insignificant margin, and inflation remains consistent, it is obvious that it hits you hard. Though he noticed a striking rise in prices of vegetables, fruits and other commodities, it did not cross his mind that his investments and savings might also be struggling from the same cause. It was only after a serious discussion with his colleague did he realised that, no matter how diligently you save and wisely invest, an attractive and well-allocated portfolio might lose its sheen once inflation is factored in. Since inflation comes through the back door like hidden costs or taxation, it may not be evident, but its impact is steady and unwavering on your investment plans and long-term returns. If you genuinely want to create long-term wealth, “wake up and smell the coffee” before it is too late. Read on to find out how to stay ahead of your time.
The Silent Killer
In commoners language, it is rising prices of goods and services that reduce the purchasing power of your currency. It dents the intrinsic value of money over time due to various factors. Suppose you can buy a cup of coffee in a standard cafe today at Rs. 100. If the yearly rate of inflation is considered as 10%, then the same cup of coffee in the same cafe will cost Rs. 110. Hence, if your income does not increase at the same rate, you might need to compromise on your lifestyle, and your savings will come down.
However, it is important to understand that a rise in the price of one product or a sudden jump in price levels due to a rise in oil prices or price elevation due to the addition of taxes are not considered true inflation. Inflation occurs when there is a consistent increase in the supply of money compared to a relative level of production output. The purchasing power per unit of currency is hence reduced.
Causes of Inflation
Awareness about the causes leading to it is the first step in the process of countering inflation. The multiple economic factors responsible for it are :
- Increased production cost due to a rise in prices of raw ingredients, wages of labourers, cost of transportation and supply chain disruptions, can lead to higher prices when goods reach consumers.
- Elevated consumer demands due to improved salaries, easy availability of loans can also give rise to inflation if the supply side does not match up with the increased demands.
- Changes in monetary policies by the Government, for instance, tax cuts, reduction of interest rates on loans and easing regulations, encourage the injection of more money into the economy and induce more borrowing and spending. This results in demand-driven inflation.
- Depreciation of currency increases the cost of imported goods. If an economy is dependent on an imported good for its essential items like fuel and food, then this depreciation can also create inflation.
- Not only intrinsic factors but extrinsic factors like geopolitical tensions amongst countries, trade agreements, and import-export sanctions disrupt markets and can give rise to inflation worldwide.
Inflation Impact Across Investment Instruments
Since investment instruments are varied, they respond differently to inflation, and so do the investment returns:
- Influence on Stocks or Equities: A moderate inflation is beneficial as it can drive economic growth by raising corporate revenues, resulting in improved company performance and higher stock prices. However, an excessive inflation rate is an obvious deterrent, raising the manufacturing costs, thinning of profit margins and weakening consumer demands.
- Fixed income investments with guaranteed return on investments like Bonds or Bank Deposits are quite vulnerable to inflation. If the inflation rate goes beyond the return rate, it impacts the net return negatively.
- Alternate assets like property values and rental incomes tend to increase with inflation, acting as inflation hedges. They appreciate in price, adjusting with the inflation rate and preserve the purchasing power.
- Gold and precious metals also act as a hedge against inflation. They preserve the actual value even when the currency weakens.
- Inflation is as diverse in different countries as the economies across the world. Hence, global investments can become an important investment tool for effective portfolio diversification. Considering fluctuations in currency and geopolitical impact to be constant, investment in low low-inflation foreign market can offset low returns in high high-inflation domestic market.
Outsmarting Inflation
A well-curated inflation-indexed investment plan is something to consider if you want to outpace inflation:
- Inflation-indexed securities like company and government-issued bonds are good options as the principal amounts of these instruments are adjusted to inflation rates. Hence, these can offer higher than inflation returns.
- Records show that equity or stocks have outperformed inflation over time. Make time your ally to ride over inflation by investing in stocks of potential and quality companies. A well-constructed and monitored equity portfolio can become your best weapon to beat inflation.
- Consider real assets to further diversify your portfolio and earn investment returns beyond inflation rates. Real estate, precious metals and some commodities tend to perform well even when inflation is on the rise. These long-term, tangible assets are good alternatives to retain or increase value when currency depreciates.
- Reassessment and balancing your portfolio with inflation-adjusted investment plans are crucial, considering the dynamicity of the economic sector. Comparing the returns and product features on digital platforms like Jio Insurance Broking Ltd. can be effective while deciding on the instrument. The platform's diverse investment options not only offer the best in the industry but also help you make an informed decision to beat inflation.
Outrun and Outperform The Disruptor
The occurrence of inflation may be inevitable, but its impact on your financial future does not have to be negative. By understanding the investment plans and how they react to inflation, you can align the investment returns according to expectations to meet your ultimate financial goals within the desired tenure. Instead of attempting to avoid inflation, research it, plan for it and navigate your investment journey with confidence.